Showing posts with label presidential. Show all posts
Showing posts with label presidential. Show all posts

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Presidential historian appears in federal court (AP)

BALTIMORE – A presidential historian charged with stealing historical documents and conspiring to take them from state archives in several states will remain in federal custody over the weekend, but a judge allowed his assistant to be released Friday.

At a hearing Monday, a judge will consider the prosecutors' recommendation that Barry Landau, 63, remain in custody. This will allow pretrial officials time to review his case and interview Landau, who appeared in the same blue-and-white-striped, button-down shirt and khakis that he wore to a bail review hearing in Baltimore Circuit Court earlier this week.

Federal prosecutor James G. Warwick said in court Friday that Landau poses a flight risk and might try to access documents that investigators haven't yet found and destroy evidence. Investigators believe that Landau has tried to tamper with witnesses, Warwick said, but he did not want to disclose details.

Prosecutors are looking at additional federal charges, including mail and wire fraud, interstate transportation of stolen goods and theft of government property, Warwick said.

U.S. Magistrate Judge Susan Gauvey approved an agreement Friday that allows Landau's assistant, Jason Savedoff, 24, be released to his mother on $250,000 cash bail. Savedoff, who appeared in a yellow jumpsuit from the Baltimore jail with a slight beard, has surrendered his American and Canadian passports and will stay at an apartment in the Baltimore area.

The men were arrested July 9 after a Maryland Historical Society employee reported Savedoff took a document out of the society's Baltimore library. When police arrived, investigators found 60 documents inside a library locker Savedoff was using, including papers signed by President Abraham Lincoln worth $300,000 and presidential inaugural ball invitations and programs worth $500,000, Baltimore prosecutors have said.

Landau had signed out many of those documents, according to court documents.

The two men were indicted by a federal grand jury Thursday, accused of stealing and selling historical documents that included a Benjamin Franklin letter and speeches by President Franklin D. Roosevelt. They also face state theft charges.

The federal indictment charges the pair with stealing an April 1780 letter from Franklin to John Paul Jones from the New-York Historical Society in March. They are also charged with taking a set of signed inaugural addresses from the FDR presidential library in December and later selling them for $35,000.

U.S. Attorney Rod J. Rosenstein has said a nationwide investigation is continuing and encouraged anyone with information about the acquisition or sale of historical items by the two to contact the FBI. Special Agent in Charge Richard A. McFeely called "the scope and notoriety" of the documents seized in this case "truly breathtaking."

Before his arrest, Landau appeared on TV programs and was quoted in news articles, particularly for his knowledge of White House social events and drew upon his extensive collection of souvenirs to write a coffee-table book, "The President's Table: Two Hundred Years of Dining and Diplomacy."

The investigation included a search of the author's museum-like, New York City apartment that's lined with mementos dating back to Washington's presidency, the FBI said. Black-and-white etchings of 19th-century inaugurations hang from the walls, while a cabinet displays presidential goblets, plates and a skeleton key that purportedly fit the front door of the White House during John Adams' administration, according to a 2007 Associated Press article.

In the wake of the arrests, institutions across the country are reviewing their vulnerabilities. They often have limited money and must balance security measures against giving access to the public.


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Monday, June 13, 2011

How the shape of the 2012 field affects each GOP presidential candidate

We’re getting close to the GOP presidential race actually starting sometime soon (we swear this time!), as several candidates are expected to announce their intentions in the coming days and weeks.

As each candidate announces, the field changes ever so slightly. And regardless of what other candidates and campaigns say, it does matter to them who else gets into the race. Whether you are Mitt Romney or Michele Bachmann, there are certain people you’d rather not face and others that you would be more than happy to welcome into the race.

So to get you prepared for it all, we thought we’d give you a scoresheet of the best-case scenarios and worst-case scenarios of how the field shakes out for the major potential candidates.

Enjoy...

Mitt Romney: More than anyone else, the former Massachusetts governor’s status as a frontrunner (if not the frontrunner) seems more immune from what the other candidates do. But you’ve got to believe that former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels and Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman occupy much of the same territory as Romney and could eat into his base in different ways. All three have somewhat similar styles and will be cast as the most electable GOP candidates. Like Romney, Pawlenty is, for all intents and purposes, in. The key here is what Daniels and Huntsman do. Daniels could really eat into Romney’s case that he’s best equipped to guide the economy, while Huntsman could cut into Romney’s donor base – both men are Mormons – and potentially steal votes in two key Romney states: New Hampshire and Nevada. At the same time, if all these candidates run, the anti-Romney vote may well be diluted.

Tim Pawlenty: The big question here is how much Rep. Michele Bachmann, a fellow Minnesotan, would eat into the former governor’s strength in neighboring Iowa. Pawlenty is taken very seriously by observers but probably needs a strong showing in Iowa to get enough momentum to carry him through the early states. If Bachmann, a tea party favorite who tends to attract attention like a vacuum, gets in and overtakes Pawlenty in Iowa, that’s bad optics for him. Also – Pawlenty would probably be better off if Daniels doesn’t get in. Both would be the “look-what-I-did-as-governor” candidate who appeals to the establishment. “The establishment likes Pawlenty, but they really like (Haley) Barbour and they love Daniels,” said a strategist involved with one of the announced exploratory committees.

Haley Barbour: The Mississippi governor is less than a week from his self-imposed deadline to make a decision, and most expect him to run. We should also be hearing from his good friend Daniels in relatively short order (the two have said publicly that they don’t want to run against each other). But perhaps the bigger question for Barbour is whether another friend, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, gets in. It’s conventional wisdom that southerners have a hard time running for president, and putting two on the GOP primary ballot – particularly a southerner that already showed some strength in the 2008 race – would make things tougher for Barbour. That’s probably why Barbour has reportedly been seeking a Huckabee endorsement. Ideally for Barbour, neither Daniels nor Huckabee runs. And that is a distinct possibility.

(Update 3:37 p.m.: Shortly after this post went live, Barbour announced he will not run for president.)

Newt Gingrich: Gingrich is nothing if not his own man, and it’s hard to put him into one category or another. But more than anything, he is an idea man, with a reputation for thinking outside the box. That sounds a lot like Daniels. Gingrich doesn’t want to have to fight for the smartest-guy-in-the-room title, but Daniels could very well force him to do that.

Mike Huckabee: The conventional wisdom for the longest time has been that Huckabee and Sarah Palin would destroy each other in Iowa. But with Palin’s polling numbers as bad as they are – even in Iowa – who is the real villain for Huckabee? Actually, there are plenty. Bachmann can play to evangelicals, as can Santorum. Even pizza magnate Herman Cain could make a dent doing the very same thing Huckabee did – charming Iowa conservatives. But while any of these candidates could hurt Huckabee, it’s more likely that he would hurt them. There is a lot of a goodwill left for Huckabee after 2008, and poll after poll shows him the most popular potential candidate. If he runs, these other candidates will have a hard time stealing that support unless someone can land some real punches on Huckabee.

Sarah Palin: Nobody signals problems for the former Alaska governor like Bachmann. And it’s not just because they are the only two women in the prospective field. It’s because Bachmann’s base is basically a mirror image of Palin’s. It’s not a coincidence that Bachmann has emerged on the national scene just as Palin seems to have faded from it. She’s better on her feet than Palin is, a better speaker and is going to be able to raise significant money. If both Bachmann and Huckabee run — or either one, really — it’s hard to see Palin having much of a shot.

Rick Santorum: Santorum can appeal to plenty of people in a Republican primary, but he needs to get the chance first. Put simply: The more candidates, the worse for Santorum. If Bachmann, Cain, Daniels and Huckabee all run, Santorum is going to have a hard time being heard above the noise. The ideal for him is that all of these candidates don’t run or flame out early, and the search for the truest conservative goes back to where it used to end: Rick Santorum. Because of Huckabee’s ties to evangelicals, though, he is Santorum’s worst enemy. “Mike Huckabee hurts everyone by being the most popular possible candidate, but particularly makes it difficult for Santorum because Huckabee grabs the evangelicals that Santorum is so aggressively courting,” said a strategist aligned with another camp.

Mitch Daniels: Daniels’s top foes would seem to be the other governors – Romney, Pawlenty and Barbour – who all appear likely to run. And for him, it may be the more, the merrier. Daniels will need to come off as the smart guy, and it’s much easier to see him out-thinking a stage with 10 candidates on it versus one with just a few. That’s in part a function of his very low name ID. If Daniels is to run and be formidable, he needs to slowly rise to the top rather than take on someone like Romney one-on-one.

Jon Huntsman: The more the GOP primary becomes about a race to the right, the better for Huntsman. Say what you want about the tea party’s influence on a GOP primary; in a presidential race, there’s room for a guy to find some middle ground — especially in open primaries where independents and Democrats are unlikely to have a real Democratic primary to vote in. And nobody is better positioned to do that than Huntsman. If the Bachmanns, Santorums and Cains of the race start pushing it into tea party-ville, Huntsman could very well come off as the adult in the room. Again, though, this is potential Romney territory, and the better Romney does, the worse off Huntsman will be.

Michele Bachmann: The less that Bachmann sees of Palin, Huckabee and Cain, the better. Huckabee, especially, could really thwart any momentum Bachmann might get out of Iowa, but all of these candidates would be splitting up the tea party base, which is really Bachmann’s only shot at the nomination. The good thing for her is, even if they run, she can probably outraise them.

Donald Trump: The best-case scenario and worst-case scenarios for Trump are the same, and they are this: if Donald Trump runs. He is completely unlike any other potential candidate, so it’s hard to say that anybody cuts into his base or vice-versa. On the plus side: he only gains more attention by actually throwing his hat in the ring. On the negative side: it’s not hard to see a Trump for President campaign completely blowing up in his face and becoming an embarrassment.

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Friday, May 20, 2011

Newt Gingrich to announce presidential bid


Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will announce his plans through Facebook and Twitter. (Mike Stewart - AP) Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will announce his plans to pursue the presidency in 2012 on Wednesday, according to spokesman Rick Tyler.

Gingrich will make the announcement first on Facebook and Twitter — a bow to the power of social media in politics — and then will sit down with conservative television personality Sean Hannity on Wednesday night for an interview. Gingrich is expected to make his first formal speech as a candidate on Friday at the Georgia Republican party convention.

The announcement is not terribly surprising as Gingrich has been eyeing the race for months and went through a bit of a false start in early March when one top aide said he was in the race only to be contradicted by other members of Gingrich’s leadership team.

For Gingrich, the presidential bid is a culmination of a long political career that saw him rise from a backbencher in Congress to the architect of the 1994 Republican revolution that saw the GOP take control of the House for the first time in 40 years.

Gingrich was elected Speaker of the new Republican majority and touted as a potential presidential candidate. But, four years later Gingrich left the House amid a tumultous personal life and following wrong-headed predictions about the 1998 election.

Since that time he has built an empire of outside groups — organized under the umbrella of an entity known as American Solutions — designed to forward his policy ideas as well as raise money for conservative causes.

Gingrich’s entrance into the race likely kicks off a period of frenetic activity in the 2012 sweepstakes. Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels is expected to make a final decision on the race by the end of the month — if not sooner — and former Utah governor Jon Huntsman is moving toward a bid.

Both former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty have formed exploratory committees and are expected to formally enter the race in the near-term.

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Pawlenty inches closer to presidential run

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Of Newt Gingrich, presidential bumps and the first presidential debate

In case you missed it — for shame! — here’s the complete Fix Faceoff video chat we did this morning.

We covered questions from Fixistas on former House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s soon-to-be-official presidential bid, last week’s GOP debate, President Obama’s post bin Laden bump in the polls and more!

Don’t have time to watch all of that? Check out the greatest hits from this week’s Faceoff:

* Gingrich’s candidacy: Instant analysis

* What’s Newt’s base?

* Mitt Romney’s approach in Iowa: Smart vs. not smart

* Pizza vs. Heroin

Remember that we do our Fix Faceoff live video chat every Monday at 11 a.m. So, put a repeating weekly reminder on your calendar and we’ll see you next Monday!

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Sunday, May 15, 2011

Tim Pawlenty lands a presidential campaign manager

Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty has signed GOP operative Nick Ayers to serve as his campaign manager, scoring one of the best-regarded young strategists in the party to lead his 2012 presidential effort.

“I’ve chosen to work for the man whose record, principles and vision will give us the strongest Republican nominee, who has the greatest chance of victory in November 2012,” Ayers said in an email to The Fix. “[Pawlenty] is someone who knows what he believes and doesn’t need polls to know how to say it, and he has lived honorably in both his public and private life.”

Ayers, who served as executive director of the Republican Governors Association during the 2008 and 2010 election cycles, was courted by at least four other potential presidential candidates. He is currently helping to lead the transition effort at the Republican National Committee under chairman Reince Priebus.

Pawlenty, who worked with Ayers as vice chair of the RGA during the 2010 cycle, called him “one of the best political talents in America,” adding: “His leadership and record of winning tough races in every part of our country will provide even more momentum to our campaign to get America back on track.”  

Ayers, who at 28 is among the youngest campaign managers in modern presidential history, will move to Minneapolis and begin in his new role on April 25.

Ayers’ hiring indicates that there is now no doubt that Pawlenty will be in the race for the Republican nomination next year. He formed an exploratory committee to begin raising money for a candidacy late last month.

Pawlenty and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour have been by far the most active in the race for staff talent. (It’s worth noting that Ayers worked under Barbour, who chaired the RGA, during the 2010 election.)

Pawlenty is moving aggressivelyon the staffing front in Iowa and New Hampshire, and Ayers rounds out a team of national strategists that includes former White House political director Sara Taylor, former John McCain presidential campaign manager Terry Nelson, former Minnesota congressman Vin Weber, former RGA executive director Phil Musser and former Republican National Committee spokesman Alex Conant. (For a full look at Pawlenty’s inner circle — done before Ayers’ hire — click here.)

Ayers was one of The Fix’s top six free-agent operatives heading into the 2012 contest.

Palin praises Trump’s birtherism: Donald Trump is getting a lot of press for his effort to get to the bottom of President Obama’s birth certificate, and now it seems former Alaska governor Sarah Palin is ready to aid his effort.

Palin, appearing on Fox News this weekend, said that she “appreciates” what Trump is doing, and that “there is something there that the president doesn’t want people to see on that birth certificate.”

Palin’s remarks are interesting, because in the past she has suggested the the birther issue is a distraction from the real issues. Now, for some reason, she appears to think Trump’s quest is worthwhile.

Case jumps into Hawaii Senate race: Former Rep. Ed Case (D-Hawaii) will make another run for Senate in 2012 after jumping into the race for retiring Sen. Daniel Akaka’s (D) seat Sunday.

Case becomes the first major candidate in the race, but he’s unlikely to have a clear primary path. Other potential Democratic candidates include former Hono­lulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann and Reps. Mazie Hirono and Colleen Hanabusa.

Case lost a 2006 primary challenge to Akaka, and he also lost a special election for a House seat last year.

Potential GOP candidates include former Gov. Linda Lingle and former Rep. Charles Djou, who held his seat for less than a year before losing to Hanabusa in November.

Louisiana redistricting may have to wait: Five of seven congressmen from Louisiana have signed a letter asking the state legislature to delay debate on a redistricting plan, after last week’s efforts yielded plenty of drama but little progress.

The members proposed waiting at least a year to draw new congressional districts, which would still allow them to be drawn before the 2012 election.

It’s worth noting that such a delay would also mean the legislature could look substantially different, because the state holds state House and Senate races in 2011. Republicans currently have a small majority in the state Senate, thanks to recent party switches, but the state Senate president is still a Democrat.

All five of the letter’s signatories were Republicans. Reps. Cedric Richmond (D) and Charles Boustany (R) were the only members not to sign the letter. Boustany’s efforts last week to get his district to his liking rubbed other members of the delegation the wrong way.

Details on Barbour’s N.H. trip: Barbour will visit with the Greater Manchester Federation of Republican Women during his trip to New Hampshire on Friday, according to an advance look at his schedule.

Barbour’s trip is newsworthy because many think, as a southern governor, he might have difficulty catching on in the Granite State.

He will also visit a gun shop Friday morning and do a reception at a private residence on Thursday evening.

Lazio for Senate?: An eagled-eyed Tweep notes that the Google description for former Rep. Rick Lazio’s website calls him “Republican candidate for the US Senate from New York.”

Lazio, who lost to Hillary Clinton in her first Senate campaign in 2000 and lost a primary for governor last year, would be running against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), who is not considered a top GOP target.

Gillibrand raised a very strong $3 million in the first quarter of this year.

Messages left with Lazio’s office weren’t returned Sunday evening.

Politics and Pints is tonight!: Make sure to stop by the Capitol Lounge at 7 p.m. for the latest installment in The Fix’s monthly trivia night, Politics and Pints.

Form your own team or show up and join someone else’s.

Fixbits:

White House senior adviser David Plouffe says Trump has no chance of becoming president.

Olympic Gold Medalist Carl Lewis is set to make an announcement about his “political plans” this afternoon in New Jersey. He is expected to run as a Democrat for the state Senate.

Massachusetts is celebrating the fifth anniversary of former governor Mitt Romney’s (R) health care law.

Must-reads:

“An imbalanced budget deal?” — Nate Silver, New York Times

“As Obama’s 2012 campaign takes shape, Chicago reclaiming role as reelection nerve center” — AP

“Obama to lay out plan this week to cut deficit” — Zachary A. Goldfarb, Philip Rucker and Paul Kane, Washington Post

“Drafting a presidential candidate is tougher than it sounds” — Nia-Malika Henderson, Washington Post

“Momentum fails O’Malley as some key goals falter” — John Wagner and Aaron C. Davis, Washington Post

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